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Saturday, 1 August 2015

A Blueprint for Power Generation in Nigeria

A Blueprint for Power Generation in Nigeria – Ojedokun, Olu & Okoronkwo, Hillary

The President of Nigeria retired Army Major General Muhammadu Buhari was sworn in on the 29th May 2015, he indicated his commitment to building new Power Plants to increase the generation of electricity to the population of over 170million population currently experiencing epileptic power supply. We note some improvements have occurred but the situation still falls far short of the expectations for the largest economy in Africa.

The Resources:

The current reality is that Nigeria is the biggest economy in Africa and its potential for further growth has been hamstrung by the lack of adequate power generation.  Most sectors of the economy rely on power generating plants fuelled at huge costs in order to remain operative.

A significant source of electricity power generation in Nigeria’s is through the hydro.  Kainji built in 1968 was the first one followed by Jebba Dam built in 1985 and Shiroro built in 1990. In 2012 the Zamfara Power Station was built.  The following Kano, Kiri, Mambilla are under construction[i].

However, in recent years fossil fuel has become a significant component of power generation, the following power stations are in various degrees of operation: AES Barge, Aba, Afam IV-V, Afam VI, Alaoji, Calabar, Egbema, Egbin,  Geregu 1, Geregu 11, Ibom, Ihovbor, Okpai, Olorunsogo, Olorunsogo 11, Omoku, Omoku 11, Omotosho 1, Omotosho 11, Sapele, Sapele (NIPP), Transcorp Ughelli and Itobe[ii].

As of December 2013, the total installed or nameplate capacity (maximum capacity) of the power plants was 6,953 MW. Available capacity was 4,598 MW. Actual average generation was 3,800 MW (2013 Year In Review, Presidential Task Force on Power, Pg. 16)
As of December 2014, the total installed capacity of the power plants was 7,445 MW. Available capacity was 4,949 MW (2014 Year In Review, Presidential Task Force on Power, Pg. 53). Actual average generation was less than 3,900 MW. The Presidential Task Force on Power's peak demand forecast is 12,800 MW (April 2015).

The Problem:

Many of the newly built power plants are non-functioning due to the inability to fuel these facilities and integrate generated Power into the national grid. There is also the fact that current legislation places electricity generation and distribution as solely a function of the Federal Government in Nigeria.

The current power generation capacity in Nigeria is less than a quarter of what is needed to provide regular power supply for residential and business needs. There are many factors that affect electricity generation in Nigeria, the major ones include but not limited to:

(i)  The Niger Delta crisis, which leads to the vandalisation of oil and gas pipe 
lines, oil gas exploration and exploitation facilities.
 (ii)  The kidnapping of foreign and indigenous professionals that manned oil and 
gas facilities in Nigeria resulting into abandoning of oil and gas exploration.
(iii)  The inability of Nigeria government in collaboration with oil multinational companies to utilise fully the gas, due to gas flaring. The gas is a good source of energy for the generation of electricity (International Journal of Engineering and Mathematical Intelligence, Vol. 1 Nos. 1 & 3, 2010 161)
(iv)  Low level of annual rainfall in Nigeria due to global warming which leads to 
global climate change that affects water level at hydro generation stations. Reliance on Hydro can be constrained by the volume of water available during the period of draught and during the months of March to June when water level goes down (Sada, 2007).
(v)  Lack of water management in Nigeria is affecting water level at the hydro generation stations.
(vi)  Bribery, Corruption and Mismanagement in the power sector.
(vii)  The absence of research and development in Nigeria, which focuses on investigating the different types of electricity generating potentials in Nigeria and how to utilise them. The research and development in the area of electricity generation, transmission and distribution can help in collecting data and offer 
services to government and private investors in the power sector.
(viii)  Non diversification of existing electricity generating potentials in Nigeria. Nigeria only utilises oil, gas and dams for electricity generation. There are other alternative potentials existing such as renewable sources of energy (solar, wind, biomass) and nuclear which can supplement the existing hydro, oil and gas generating potentials. According to the Katsina State Government, it has started investing in the electricity generation using wind and Bio-mass sources.
(ix)  There is a poor planned maintenance culture, in which fixed-time maintenance are never carried out regularly. Good maintenance culture lead to availability of electricity utilities in which electricity power is made available to consumers 
almost all the time (Oroge, 1991).
 The sector cannot be maintained if they do not have enough funds to buy the needed spare parts and pay for their running cost. Good maintenance culture is very essential in keeping any physical systems, such as electricity generation, transmission and distribution networks in operational readiness. Maintenance of electricity utilities is a combination of any action carried out to retain the utilities in or restore them to normal operational standard. Basically, maintenance can be classified into two categories, namely; planned maintenance and unplanned maintenance. In Nigeria electricity power sector, unplanned maintenance are normally carried out after systems failure and is normally carried out without any forethought, control and records.
(x)      The electricity consumers in Nigeria are highly indebted to the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) due to poor electricity delivery, none settlement of electricity bills, corruption by bill collectors. Illegal connections and high maintenance cost of equipment due to vandalisation by thieves, wind also lead to low revenue generation by Power Holdings Company of Nigeria.
(xi)    Failing down of electricity transmission and distribution lines by winds as well as vandalisation of these lines by thieves, construction works, fluid, soil erosion.  (International Journal of Engineering and Mathematical Intelligence, Vol. 1 Nos. 1 & 3, 2010 162)
(xii)  The transmission line losses due to long distances between generating stations and load centres. The electrical power losses of the 330KV transmission lines, in Nigeria with and without                    compensation is given on table 2 (Yusuf, Boyi and Muazu, 2007).

Table 1: Electricity generating stations, ratings and their locations in Nigeria

Station
Type
No. of Units
Installed Capacity
Kainji
Hydro
8
KVout
MWout
16.0
760
Afam I-III
Gas Turbine
12
10.5
260
Afam IV
Gas Turbine
6
11.5
450
Afam V
Gas Turbine
5
11.5
760
Egbin
Steam Turbine
6
16.0
1320
Egbin
Gas Turbine
9
11.5
270
Jebba
Hydro
6
16.0
570
Sapele
Steam Turbine
6
16.0
720
Sapele
Gas Turbine
4
10.5
300
Shiroro
Hydro
4
16.0
400
Delta II
Gas Turbine
6
11.5
120
Delta III
Gas Turbine
6
11.5
120
Delta IV
Gas Turbine
6
11.5
600





Source: (Nigeria Society of Engineers Technical Transactions, 2007, Vol. 42, No. 1, p27).

Suggested Solutions [iii]:

It should be noted that Electricity generation, transmission and distribution are three stages of delivering electricity to consumers.

The experts estimate that the millions of cubic feet of gas wasted daily and the flared gas in the Niger Delta oil producing parts of Nigeria are capable of providing electricity to the entire continent of Africa.

It is reported the President is interested in solving this electricity problem by engaging a reputable international company to build new Power Plants to generate enough electricity for over 170 million Nigerians.

(i) The restructuring of the Nigerian radial interconnected electricity generation station grid system, which has National Control Centre at Oshogbo, and replacing it with a regional interconnected grid system in order to reduce transmission line losses and improve reliability of the Nigerian grid system.
 (ii)  The Government should diversify the sources of fuel for electricity generating stations. Nigeria has abundance coal reserve, Uranium, bio-mass, wind potentials, which can be used for generating electricity instead of relying only on gas, oil and hydro potentials.
(iii)  The loading of transmission and distribution transformers should be reduced. This is in order to trim down the number of consumers per transformer to a ratio of about 10 consumers per distribution transformer.
(iv) Illegal connections should be discouraged by the electricity power stakeholders.
(v)  The electricity consumers in Nigeria should show patriotism through prompt settlement of electricity bills.
(vi)  The successful governments in Nigerian have to be more committed to the execution of good developmental projects left behind by past administrations.
(vii)  A consumer friendly billing system should be developed by the appropriate government agencies.
 (viii)  The bureaucracies surrounding the procurement of electricity meters should be jettisoned to encourage consumers to pay and have their meters within a reasonable period of time.


[i] Kainji and Jebba Dams, Niger River, Nigeria Accessed on 27th April 2015 from http://www.sarafinchin.com/index.php/projects/africa/kainji-and-jebba-dams-niger-river-nigeria/
[ii] List of Power Stations in Nigeria accessed on 26th April 2015 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_stations_in_Nigeria
[iii] Sule, A. H. (2011) Major Factors Affecting Electricity Generation, Transmission and Distribution in Nigeria Accessed on 27th April 2015 from http://www.icidr.org/ijemi_vol1no1-3_2011/Major%20Factors%20Affecting%20Electricity%20Generation,%20Transmission%20and%20Distribution%20in%20Nigeria.pdf

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